47 comments
386 forecasters
How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 25, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:May 10, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2022
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2% chance
196
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
0.1% chance
184
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
1% chance
422