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Internally Displaced Ukrainians in 2022

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On February 21, 2022, Russian President Vladmir Putin formally recognized the Donetsk People's Republic and Luhansk People's Republic as independent states. As these territories are claimed by Ukraine, this act could escalate the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Such a conflict could lead to displacement of civilians both within Ukraine and beyond. In 2020, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) estimated there were 734,000 Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) whose country of origin was Ukraine.

How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022?

This question will resolve as the number of Internally Displaced Persons on December 31, 2022 whose country of origin is Ukraine, as estimated by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. UNHCR's data source is the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre, which typically updates their data in the middle of the following year; if they do not publish this data by December 31, 2023, an alternative source may be used, or the question may resolve as Ambiguous at Metaculus' discretion.

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