Question
What rank will "Improving Sino-Western Coordination on Global Catastrophic Risk" be on 80,000 Hours's "highest-impact career paths" list on January 1, 2024?
Resolved:16Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction
15.7
(9.39 - >16)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 2.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 9.389 | — |
| median | 15.71 | — |
| upper 75% | >16 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >16 | 36.6% | — |
What was the final result?16
Community Peer Score
190.5
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2022