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Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

90%chance
10% today

Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?

15%chance
5% this week

What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?

result0

If Labor wins the next Australian election, what will the Reserve Bank's cash rate target be in June 2025?

result3.85%

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No
and 1 other

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Democrats78%
Republicans21.9%
Other0.1%

Will Texas elect a Democratic senator in 2018?

resultNo

What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

What will be the highest closing price of Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock any day after April 14, 2024, and before the 2024 United States presidential election?

result54.39

Who will be elected President of Poland in 2025?

Karol Nawrockiresult: Yes
Rafał Trzaskowskiresult: No
Szymon Hołowniaresult: No
and 3 others