• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

92.5%chance
42.3% this week

Which party will lead the next German government?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Who will be the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in the next German federal election?

Friedrich Merzresult: Yes
Markus Söderresult: No
Hendrik Wüstresult: No
and 2 others

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Key Factor

Spreading of Deepfakes

Democrats79%
Republicans20.9%
Other0.1%

Key Factor

Spreading of Deepfakes

Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?

resultYes

What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?

result0

Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023?

resultNo

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
and 14 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?

Tim Walzresult: Yes
Gina Raimondoresult: No
Jeff Jacksonresult: No
and 16 others

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Key Factor

trumps health

20%chance

Key Factor

trumps health