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US Democracy Index

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What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 2 weeks

0 comments

39 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q4 2025?

Current estimate

9490 vehicles

1 comment

39 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q3 2025?

community

12.4k vehicles

result

13.201k vehicles

2 comments

44 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q3 2025?

community

473k vehicles

result

497.099k vehicles

9 comments

133 forecasters

Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

5%chance

40 comments

99 forecasters

Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

20 comments

637 forecasters

Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?

1%chance

1 comment

5 forecasters

Will the Asian Elephant (Elephas maximus) become Extinct before 2100?

Complete Extinction9%

Wild Extinction21%

3 comments

6 forecasters

When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?

Current estimate

Feb 2040

0 comments

11 forecasters

Will advancements in space-based observation systems lead to a significant reduction in illegal fishing activities in global marine regions before 2031?

19%chance

11% this week