117 comments
264 forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
60%chance
5% this week
Key Factors
1 comment
23 forecasters
Will the United States invade Venezuela before January 20, 2029?
20%chance
5% today
Contributed by the Adjacent community.
2 comments
3 forecasters
Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?
Judy Shelton25.9%
Larry Kudlow25.1%
Kevin Hassett18.8%
37 comments
122 forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
24%chance
24% this week
Key Factors
14 comments
31 forecasters
On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?
11 comments
75 forecasters
How many G20 members will not have recognized the State of Palestine before November 16, 2025?
Five80.8%
Four18.2%
Three or fewer1%
Key Factors
0 comments
15 forecasters
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?
62%chance
10% this week
19 comments
14 forecasters
Will China conduct a test detonation of a nuclear weapon before 2028?
8%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.