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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
87 comments
287 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

40%chance
26 comments
152 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

95%chance
3% this week
1 comment
2 forecasters

When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?

Current estimate
Dec 2033
2 comments
57 forecasters

Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?

4%chance
30 comments
122 forecasters

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?

5%chance
3.5% this week
2 comments
16 forecasters

Will Nayib Bukele Rule El Salvador for Life?

7%chance
13% this week
5 comments
59 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

9%chance
6% this week
0 comments
11 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?

50%chance
17% this week
32 comments
112 forecasters

If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?

48%chance
2 comments
11 forecasters

Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?

55%chance
5% this week