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Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Will the United States and China sign a formal, verifiable bilateral treaty or accord specifically limiting Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) development by December 31, 2030?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

Before 2029, will a new international organization focused on AI safety be established with participation from at least three G7 countries?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

Contributed by the Sudan Community community.

How many internally displaced people will Sudan have on January 31, 2026?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?

68%chance
10% this week

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?

resultNo

What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?

Key Factor

Many 6 months and 1 year holdings prone to being sold in the next months

result756.4B $

Key Factor

Many 6 months and 1 year holdings prone to being sold in the next months

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Key Factor

Control of Rodynske could complete encirclement

Pokrovskresult: Yes
Myrnohrad25%
Kupyansk10%
and 1 other

Key Factor

Control of Rodynske could complete encirclement

Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?

resultNo

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

16%chance