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87
comments
287
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
40%
chance
26
comments
152
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
95%
chance
3%
this week
1
comment
2
forecasters
When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
2
comments
57
forecasters
Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?
4%
chance
30
comments
122
forecasters
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029?
5%
chance
3.5%
this week
2
comments
16
forecasters
Will Nayib Bukele Rule El Salvador for Life?
7%
chance
13%
this week
5
comments
59
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
9%
chance
6%
this week
0
comments
11
forecasters
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?
50%
chance
17%
this week
32
comments
112
forecasters
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
48%
chance
2
comments
11
forecasters
Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?
55%
chance
5%
this week
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