Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⚡
Current Events
⏳
AI 2027
🌍✨
AI Pathways Tournament
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
44 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
26%
26%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
20%
20%
Resolved:
Annulled
6
10 comments
10
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
28 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?
57%
57%
US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?
75%
75%
Resolved:
Annulled
6
1 comment
1
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
67 forecasters
if yes
if no
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
95%
95%
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
99%
99%
Resolved:
Annulled
6
14 comments
14
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
38 forecasters
if yes
if no
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
31%
31%
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
48%
48%
Resolved:
Annulled
9
3 comments
3
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
22 forecasters
if yes
if no
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
31%
31%
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
15%
15%
Resolved:
Annulled
2
no comments
0
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
52 forecasters
if yes
if no
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
75%
75%
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
25%
25%
Resolved:
Annulled
8
3 comments
3
2024 Electoral Consequences