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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
38 forecasters
if yes
if no

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?

31%
31%

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?

48%
48%
Resolved:Annulled
9
3 comments3
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
67 forecasters
if yes
if no

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

95%
95%

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

99%
99%
Resolved:Annulled
6
14 comments14
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
28 forecasters
if yes
if no

US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?

57%
57%

US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?

75%
75%
Resolved:Annulled
6
1 comment1
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
22 forecasters
if yes
if no

Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)

31%
31%

Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)

15%
15%
Resolved:Annulled
2
no comments0
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
52 forecasters
if yes
if no

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

75%
75%

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

25%
25%
Resolved:Annulled
8
3 comments3
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
44 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

26%
26%

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

20%
20%
Resolved:Annulled
6
10 comments10
2024 Electoral Consequences