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condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
38
forecasters
if yes
if no
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
31%
31%
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
48%
48%
Resolved:
Annulled
9
3
3
comments
38
38
forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
52
forecasters
if yes
if no
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
75%
75%
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
25%
25%
Resolved:
Annulled
8
3
3
comments
52
52
forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
22
forecasters
if yes
if no
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
31%
31%
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
15%
15%
Resolved:
Annulled
2
0
comments
22
22
forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
44
forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
26%
26%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
20%
20%
Resolved:
Annulled
6
10
10
comments
44
44
forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
28
forecasters
if yes
if no
US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?
57%
57%
US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?
75%
75%
Resolved:
Annulled
6
1
1
comment
28
28
forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved:
Yes
67
forecasters
if yes
if no
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
95%
95%
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
99%
99%
Resolved:
Annulled
6
14
14
comments
67
67
forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences