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condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
38 forecasters
if yes
if no
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
31%
31%
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
48%
48%
Resolved :
Annulled
48%
9
3 comments
3
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
67 forecasters
if yes
if no
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
95%
95%
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
99%
99%
Resolved :
Annulled
99%
7
14 comments
14
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
28 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?
57%
57%
US Military Response to Invasion of Taiwan?
75%
75%
Resolved :
Annulled
75%
6
1 comment
1
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
22 forecasters
if yes
if no
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
31%
31%
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027 (Kharkiv)
15%
15%
Resolved :
Annulled
15%
2
no comments
0
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
52 forecasters
if yes
if no
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
75%
75%
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
25%
25%
Resolved :
Annulled
25%
8
3 comments
3
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
44 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
26%
26%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
20%
20%
Resolved :
Annulled
20%
6
10 comments
10
2024 Electoral Consequences