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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

What will the National Institutes of Health’s budget be in these fiscal years?

What will the National Institutes of Health’s actual obligations be in these fiscal years?

By how much will the new administration change the NIH budget in 2026 compared to 2024?

0.953%
12.6 % this week

Will any U.S. state experience a permanent population decline of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

5%chance
5% this week

Will FEWS NET declare a famine in any part of Gaza before 2026?

Key Factor

How much aid Israel allows in

Annulled

Key Factor

How much aid Israel allows in

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

20%chance
17% this week

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

33%chance
17% this week

How much money in billions of USD will NIH award in Research Project Grants in the 2025 Fiscal Year 2025 (Oct 1, 2024 - Sep 30, 2025)?

27.4
Billion USD
1.9 Billion USD this week

What will the enacted budget for the National Health Service Corps be in FY 2024?

result561.504109M

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

Key Factor

Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans

1%chance

Key Factor

Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans