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15
comments
16
forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H3N2
84.7
H1N1
17.9
H5
<0.1
5
comments
8
forecasters
Will the Giant Panda become extinct before 2100?
2%
chance
3
comments
42
forecasters
Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?
20%
chance
12%
this week
Key Factors
Trump pushing for border reopening to increase supply
16
comments
17
forecasters
What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?
Current estimate
88.9%
17
comments
22
forecasters
What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?
Moderate
57.6%
High
28.9%
Low (or lower)
9.6%
1 other
4%
17
comments
25
forecasters
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Current estimate
1022 cases
Key Factors
Cases rising on average over years
Persistence of higher-than-baseline case rates possible
Regression to the mean expected
5
comments
55
forecasters
Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?
1%
chance
15
comments
16
forecasters
What will RSV immunization coverage for the 2025-26 season be among the following groups in the US?
Infants < 8 months
48.7
Eligible pregnant women
37.7
Adults 75+
55.5
14
comments
18
forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV
3.5
Flu
9.76
COVID-19
3.65
1 other
17
comments
19
forecasters
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
00
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