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US Democracy Index

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Will Nayib Bukele Rule El Salvador for Life?

7%chance

13% this week

15 comments

17 forecasters

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

Adults 65+43.1

Adults 18+21.4

Children 6 months to 17 years11.8

14 comments

25 forecasters

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Current estimate

540 cases

9 comments

17 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.5

Flu9.78

COVID-194.08

10 comments

18 forecasters

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?

Current estimate

81.4%

13 comments

18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

11 comments

15 forecasters

What will RSV immunization coverage for the 2025-26 season be among the following groups in the US?

Infants < 8 months49.6

Eligible pregnant women40.1

Adults 75+57.3

10 comments

16 forecasters

What will be the flu vaccine coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

Children 6 months to 17 years47.1

Adults 18+46.7

Adults 65+72.4

10 comments

23 forecasters

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate60.5%

High21.1%

Low (or lower)15.4%

31 comments

153 forecasters

How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

Current estimate

50.5 Deaths