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What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

Key Factor

small sample size impacts confidence in trends

53.5%

Key Factor

small sample size impacts confidence in trends

Platform feature suggestions

112
2966 comments2966
Metaculus Meta

Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Key Factor

Historically high prize cap in this tournament (50%)

48%chance

Key Factor

Historically high prize cap in this tournament (50%)

Economist 2021 Tournament Winners

7
5 comments5
Economist 2021

Enriched Question Group Tiles in Your Feed

11
14 comments14

Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap

10
11 comments11

Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?

resultNo

Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?

resultNo

Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?

resultNo

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

95%chance