Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup?
713
49 forecasters
6
13 comments
13
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Platform feature suggestions
112
2.7k comments
2.7k
Metaculus Meta
By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
2050
97.5%
2040
90%
2035
86.4%
2 others
9
17 comments
17
Suggest questions to launch
122
2.8k comments
2.8k
Metaculus Meta
How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?
October 1, 2030
12.6M
October 1, 2025
3.48M
December 31, 2023
1.61M
2 others
4
84 comments
84
AGI Readiness Index
3 comments
3
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
12
24 comments
24
Will Metaculus exist in 2030?
95%
527 forecasters
51
54 comments
54
Casens Administratorship
9
1 comment
1
Metaculus Meta
Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?
33%
31 forecasters
8
35 comments
35
Load More