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3
comments
55
forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
Current estimate
9.29
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
11
0
comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
92
comments
181
forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Jan 2031
14
comments
60
forecasters
By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
14
comments
44
forecasters
Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?
29.4%
chance
Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap
10
11
11
comments
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
13
27
27
comments
0
comments
9
forecasters
What will the Metaculus Community Prediction bias on the next 20 AI benchmark questions be?
Latest estimate
0.499
This question is closed for forecasting.
84
comments
166
forecasters
How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?
Forecast Fridays
34
29
29
comments
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