4 comments
15 forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
Current estimate
8.18
92 comments
183 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Mar 2031
84 comments
165 forecasters
How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?
36 comments
114 forecasters
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Current estimate
Apr 2046
0 comments
9 forecasters
What will the Metaculus Community Prediction bias on the next 20 AI benchmark questions be?
Latest estimate
0.499
This question is closed for forecasting.