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2
comments
37
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead
5
1
1
comment
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
11
0
comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
3
comments
55
forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
Current estimate
9
14
comments
60
forecasters
By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
36
comments
113
forecasters
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Current estimate
Feb 2047
14
comments
44
forecasters
Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?
29.4%
chance
Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap
10
11
11
comments
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
13
27
27
comments
92
comments
182
forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Jan 2031
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