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2 comments
37 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

5
11 comment
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

11
0 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
3 comments
55 forecasters

Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?

Current estimate
9
14 comments
60 forecasters

By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?

36 comments
113 forecasters

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

Current estimate
Feb 2047
14 comments
44 forecasters

Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?

29.4%chance

Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap

10
1111 comments

Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified

13
2727 comments
92 comments
182 forecasters

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

Current estimate
Jan 2031