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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead
13
6
6
comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
97
comments
183
forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Sep 2031
4
comments
15
forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
Current estimate
8.03
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
11
0
comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
84
comments
166
forecasters
How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?
14
comments
60
forecasters
By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap
10
11
11
comments
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
13
27
27
comments
0
comments
9
forecasters
What will the Metaculus Community Prediction bias on the next 20 AI benchmark questions be?
Latest estimate
0.499
This question is closed for forecasting.
Forecast Fridays
34
29
29
comments
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