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How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup?
7.11
42 forecasters
6
61 comments
61
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Suggest questions to launch
120
2.7k comments
2.7k
Metaculus Meta
Platform feature suggestions
110
2.7k comments
2.7k
Metaculus Meta
Platform update thread
14
100 comments
100
Metaculus Meta
Introducing Conditional Forecast Copying
10
2 comments
2
By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
2025:
1%
52 forecasters
10
16 comments
16
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
2030-03-09
164 forecasters
39
93 comments
93
AI Demonstrations
Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?
Resolved :
No
82 forecasters
5
23 comments
23
Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?
Resolved :
No
101 forecasters
7
16 comments
16
Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?
Resolved :
No
77 forecasters
1
14 comments
14
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