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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
1 comment
6 forecasters

Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?

12%chance
38% this week
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will the Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hit the Earth or the Moon before 2033?

4%chance
8 comments
66 forecasters

Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?

35%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
8 forecasters

How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

448 comments
4.4k forecasters

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

0.1%chance
75 comments
141 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate
>125 billion $
8 comments
20 forecasters

Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?

An uncrewed craft80%
At least one person36%
At least one personβ€”and return them to Earth18%
1 comment
2 forecasters

When will β‰₯ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?

Current estimate
Dec 2033
6 comments
9 forecasters

When will a satellite be equipped with a nuclear weapon?

Current estimate
Sep 2049
2 comments
59 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance