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1 comment
6 forecasters

Will the Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hit the Earth or the Moon before 2033?

3%chance
2 comments
8 forecasters

Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?

15%chance
3% this week
6 comments
54 forecasters

When will Blue Origin's "New Glenn" rocket complete its first successful test flight?

Latest estimate
29 Mar 2021

This question is closed for forecasting.

17 comments
37 forecasters

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00
34 comments
134 forecasters

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

51%chance
6% this week

Key Factors

5 comments
27 forecasters

When will Jeff Bezos first land on the moon?

Current estimate
Jan 2044
2 comments
3 forecasters

When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?

Current estimate
Feb 2034

Key Factors

82 comments
626 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
83 comments
115 forecasters

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00
11 comments
74 forecasters

Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?

27%chance