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84
comments
628
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
2
comments
9
forecasters
Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?
50%
chance
2
comments
59
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
6
comments
54
forecasters
When will Blue Origin's "New Glenn" rocket complete its first successful test flight?
Latest estimate
29 Mar 2021
This question is closed for forecasting.
1
comment
7
forecasters
Will the Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hit the Earth or the Moon before 2033?
3%
chance
83
comments
115
forecasters
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
00
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
2
comments
3
forecasters
When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?
Current estimate
Feb 2034
Key Factors
Ballooning cost may delay the program
Performance concerns with missile detection
Future Congress funding cancellation risk
20
comments
20
forecasters
How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?
Current estimate
0.568 AU
5
comments
27
forecasters
When will Jeff Bezos first land on the moon?
Current estimate
Jan 2044
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