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Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

resultNo

Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

Key Factor

Trump doesn't like EVs, could target Tesla

1%chance

Key Factor

Trump doesn't like EVs, could target Tesla

When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?

04 Jun 2030

How many NASA "space launch system" (SLS) launches before 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

3.02

When will SpaceX Starship first successfully fly an external customer payload?

03 Feb 2026
9.3 weeks this week

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00

Forecasting the Evolution of the Space Debris Population

9
no comments0
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Our Life Underneath a Chaotic Orbital Environment: The Relationship Between Space Debris and Space Utilization

11
no comments0
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰