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Q1 AI Benchmarking Results: Pros Crush Bots

10
1 comment1
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

35%chance
12% this week

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

78%chance
9% this week

Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting

12
2 comments2

What will the highest percentage of overall compute capacity held by a single organisation be on January 1, 2028?

22.3%
4.7 % this week

What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?

68.4%
2.3 % this week

When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?

result05 Jun 2025 12:00

Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

5%chance

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

30%chance

When will Nvidia's market capitalization surpass $10 trillion?

Aug 2034
13.4 months this week