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condition

CTs Deep Learning Revenue

16 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

7%
7%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

1%
1%
1
1 comment1
Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?

Key Factor

Early decision expected before September election

resultYes

Key Factor

Early decision expected before September election

What will be the sector weighting of the Technology and Communication Services Sector in the S&P 500 on January 1, 2027?

0.429%

What will be the total AI compute capacity on January 1, 2028?

74.8M
H100 Equivalents

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

resultYes

50% Carbon-neutral electricity by 2025?

resultNo
condition

CTs AI Admin Disempowerment Before 2030

16 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

26%
26%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

5%
5%
4
no comments0
Conditional Trees: AI Risk

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?