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17
comments
145
forecasters
Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?
8.5%
chance
2.5%
this week
0
comments
32
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
20%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
39
comments
62
forecasters
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
2
comments
40
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
3
comments
5
forecasters
What will be the sector weighting of the Technology and Communication Services Sector in the S&P 500 on January 1, 2027?
Current estimate
0.449%
11
comments
15
forecasters
When will Nvidia's market capitalization surpass $10 trillion?
Current estimate
Apr 2043
1
comment
50
forecasters
What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?
Current estimate
97.6 Percent
2
comments
10
forecasters
How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?
2040
6.57M
2035
5.73M
2032
4.84M
4 others
29
comments
162
forecasters
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
30%
chance
6%
this week
2
comments
36
forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD
5%
Nvidia
5%
Google
5%
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