Question Feed | Metaculus

9 comments

58 forecasters

SpaceX last closing price at end of August 2026?

Current estimate

153 $

34 comments

68 forecasters

Date of SpaceX taken public

community

20 Jul 2026

result

12 Jun 2026 12:00 UTC

2 comments

12 forecasters

Will PayPal’s proposed bank receive FDIC approval before July 1, 2027?

49.8%chance

75 comments

145 forecasters

SpaceX Valuation in 2030

Current estimate

>125 billion $

0 comments

6 forecasters

What % of the EU hen flock will be in-ovo sexed in 2027?

Current estimate

Revealed

tomorrow

0 comments

4 forecasters

How many more US states will ban cultivated meat before July 2027?

0Hidden

1Hidden

2Hidden

3Hidden

4+Hidden

21 comments

80 forecasters

Starlink largest IPO before 2030

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

10 forecasters

Will Starlink's website show South Africa having Starlink by Sep 1, 2026?

30%chance

20% this week

0 comments

4 forecasters

What % of the US hen flock will be in-ovo sexed in 2027?

Current estimate

Revealed

tomorrow

7 comments

25 forecasters

Biren or Moore Threads public by 2028?

Moore Threads67%

Biren50%

16 comments

41 forecasters

Trillion Dollar SpaceX

community

Apr 2031

result

02 Feb 2026 21:04 UTC

45 comments

105 forecasters

SpaceX Valuation in 2030

Current estimate

1849 B USD

7 comments

79 forecasters

Will Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026?

24%chance

15% this week

Key Factors

No Windows version or beta announced
technewshub.co.uk:
OpenAI Building a desktop "Super App" to merge ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlas browser
Focus on Codex over Atlas development

14 comments

17 forecasters

ASTR market cap two weeks after going public

community

6.06

result

2.756

2 comments

53 forecasters

Major CSP to buy PRC-fabbed AI chip by 2028?

OVH10.5%

Amazon Web Services6.6%

Microsoft Azure5%

Google Cloud2%

10 comments

15 forecasters

Date of Starlink be spin out from SpaceX

Current estimate

27 Oct 2027

2 comments

56 forecasters

Major CSP buys PRC-designed AI chip by 2028?

OVH14%

Amazon Web Services4.5%

Microsoft Azure4%

Google Cloud3%

0 comments

5 forecasters

Will Starlink's website show India as having Starlink available by Sep 1, 2026?

50%chance

2 comments

24 forecasters

What will be NSF's discretionary budget for FY2028?

Democratic Congress6.54B

Republican Congress6.05B

Split Congress6.23B

3 comments

71 forecasters

Starlink IPO before 2030

72.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments

50 forecasters

Chinese process node advancement by 2030?

≤5 nm99%

≤3 nm77%

≤2 nm36.8%

32 comments

57 forecasters

First USD trillionaire

Elon Musk98.7%

Bernard Arnault0.1%

Jeff Bezos0.1%

Mark Zuckerberg0.1%

12 others

15 comments

39 forecasters

Artemis 2 successful flight

community

12 May 2026

result

10 Apr 2026 23:00 UTC

54 comments

163 forecasters

Tech Boom Before 2025?

resultYes