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0 comments
102 forecasters

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
102 forecasters

Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Capped credits)

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
102 forecasters

Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Walmart stores in the United States return to 24-hour service before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?

17.2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Limits on share buybacks)

9.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?

15.6%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?

Trump does not file a lawsuit in the USA or the UK47.4%
Trump files a lawsuit in the USA only36.9%
Trump files a lawsuit in both the USA and the UK9.8%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
88 forecasters

By December 31, 2025 (23:59:59 UTC), will Ariane 6 have conducted at least four launches with liftoff timestamps in calendar year 2025?

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.