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2 comments
30 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
3 comments
54 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet31.1%
OpenAI24.4%
Anthropic16.7%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
7 comments
56 forecasters

Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?

99.9%chance
36.9% this week
2 comments
44 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

83%chance
32.9% today
6 comments
43 forecasters

What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Current estimate
15.9 pp
99 comments
294 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

45%chance
9% this week
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

18%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.