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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

Renewables Forecasting

23
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years?

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

resultNo

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

Will 100 kilotonnes of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, before 2024?

resultNo

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

Mar 2047

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

45%chance

Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

1%chance