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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

11
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
4 comments
95 forecasters

Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)

99%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?

72.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Liberal)

1%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
95 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Patient Focus)

1%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
95 forecasters

Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?

3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
93 forecasters

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Neither69.5%
House of Representatives21.1%
Both5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

How much money in billions of USD will NIH award in Research Project Grants in the 2025 Fiscal Year 2025 (Oct 1, 2024 - Sep 30, 2025)?

Latest estimate
24.1 Billion USD

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.