Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

R Praggnanandhaa99.9%

Anish Giri99.9%

Hikaru Nakamura99.8%

2 comments

7 forecasters

Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?

99%chance

49% this week

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

20.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

22.8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

78.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

18 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

11 comments

78 forecasters

Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?

Someone else73.6%

Arjun Erigaisi20.1%

Wei Yi5.6%

1 comment

19 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

0 comments

81 forecasters

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Latest estimate

231T digits

This question is closed for forecasting.