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Forecasting Asset Prices

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Metaculus Journal Archives

A brief but hopeful vignette

4
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will Bitcoin reach $40,000 before January 1, 2024?

resultYes

Will Bitcoin go up over 2024?

resultYes

What will be the value of Bitcoin (in USD) on April 1, 2024?

result69.70215k

What will be the value of Bitcoin (in USD) on May 15, 2024?

result66.26749k

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

56%chance

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

229k
qubits

Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?

resultNo

Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?

resultNo