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2
comments
30
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
7
comments
56
forecasters
Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?
99.9%
chance
37.9%
this week
3
comments
54
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
31.7%
OpenAI
25%
Anthropic
16.8%
3 others
26%
6
comments
43
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
16.1 pp
2
comments
45
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
93%
chance
2%
today
99
comments
294
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
45%
chance
7%
this week
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
18%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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