2 comments
34 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
7 comments
58 forecasters
Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?
99.9%chance
35.4% this week
3 comments
40 forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
3 comments
56 forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet29.7%
OpenAI25.8%
Anthropic17.3%
6 comments
44 forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
16.2 pp
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States)
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.