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2
comments
27
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
3
comments
52
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
30.8%
OpenAI
24.2%
Anthropic
17.6%
3 others
27%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
2
comments
43
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
95%
chance
35%
today
99
comments
292
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
41%
chance
6
comments
53
forecasters
Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?
99%
chance
36%
this week
2
comments
100
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
Latest estimate
5.48 spacecraft
This question is closed for forecasting.
8
comments
63
forecasters
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
95%
4
4.6%
0
0.1%
3 others
0%
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