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Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

41%chance

Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

resultYes

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

47%chance

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

3.3%chance

If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

Texas50%
California35%
Florida20%
and 47 others

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.14
states

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

5.72
states

The Colorado River and the Southwestern US Under Climate Change

9
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

What Is the Future of American Financial Surveillance?

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?

resultYes