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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be a named Atlantic storm or hurricane before May 20, 2024?

resultNo

When will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse?

Jan 2053

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years?

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

resultNo

How many major hurricanes will occur in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?

Fiveresult: Yes
Sixresult: No
Three or fewerresult: No
and 3 others

Will 100 kilotonnes of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, before 2024?

resultNo

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

45%chance

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Jun 2040