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1
comment
11
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
02 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
9
1
1
comment
3
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
63.2%
3
comments
41
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
37.2%
OpenAI
24.4%
Other
17%
3 others
21%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
3
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0
comments
103
forecasters
Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?
31.7%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
103
forecasters
Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election? (Wes Streeting)
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
101
forecasters
Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?
75%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
103
forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?
75%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
104
forecasters
Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?
17.3%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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