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When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?

result05 Jun 2025 12:00

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Singapore75%
Vietnam70%
Taiwan67%
and 9 others

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services8%
Microsoft Azure7%
and 1 other

Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI

7
3 comments3
AI Progress Essay Contest

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD5%
Google5%
Nvidia3%

How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

75%chance