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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2 comments
36 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
11 comment
6 comments
103 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi67.6%
Qatar30.2%
Las Vegas2%
9 comments
88 forecasters

Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?

58%chance
3 comments
41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.1%

Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.

0 comments
3 forecasters

What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?

Current estimate
924B $
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States)

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.