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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
36
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
1
1
comment
6
comments
103
forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi
67.6%
Qatar
30.2%
Las Vegas
2%
1 other
0%
9
comments
88
forecasters
Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?
58%
chance
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.1%
Contributed by the
AI Diffusion
community.
0
comments
3
forecasters
What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?
Current estimate
924B $
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States)
10%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
7%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
92
forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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