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What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

17.4k GWh

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?

Ambiguous

Renewables Forecasting

23
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

37.1%chance

Will 100 kilotonnes of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, before 2024?

resultNo

Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?

45%chance