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Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

25%chance

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

When will the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse?

Jan 2053

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

Renewables Forecasting

23
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years?

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8