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Will Biden keep a +5% net Presidential approval rating throughout his first six months on the job?

resultYes

Will Biden's 538 approval rating be above the following values on the following days?

2023 Dec 31st, ≥ 40%result: No
2024 Jan 31st, ≥ 40%result: No

Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

If a Republican announces that they will vote for impeachment, or votes for it, what will be the public support for impeachment at that time?

Ambiguous

Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?

resultNo

On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus?

result31.2

How many episodes of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast will be released in the run-up to the US 2020 presidential election?

result44

Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

Will Biden drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?

resultNo

How will Trump's popular vote share compare to FiveThirtyEight's prediction?

result1.782