0 comments
107 forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11.4%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will Google implement a feature to explain targeted Google Ads before 2026?
25%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
108 forecasters
Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?
8.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
106 forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom)
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
92 forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2 comments
40 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 10:12