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Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

50%chance
10% this week

When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?

Jun 2048

When will the UK have sequenced 10M people in a research biobank?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Sep 2033

Lifespan Extension in Dogs and Longevity Research Signals

16
no comments0

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

21
6 comments6
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance

When will a human cure for herpes simplex for oral region be available for purchase?

Nov 2032

Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI

7
3 comments3
AI Progress Essay Contest

Substance is all you need.

2
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest