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0 comments
103 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

31.7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
104 forecasters

Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?

17.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election? (Wes Streeting)

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
98 forecasters

What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?

Latest estimate
46.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
88 forecasters

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

72.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will a new bill amending the climate provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act become law in 2025?

95%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.