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In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?

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101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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100 forecasters

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

20.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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100 forecasters

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

22.8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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100 forecasters

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

78.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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99 forecasters

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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12 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

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16 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

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81 forecasters

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Latest estimate

231T digits

This question is closed for forecasting.

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15 forecasters

In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?