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Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

50%chance
10% this week

How many cases of measles will be recorded in the United States for the year 2020?

resultLess than 250

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

76%chance

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

91.7

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

579
cases

Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?

resultYes

Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?

resultYes

Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?

resultNo

Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?

resultNo

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

resultNo