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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
4 comments
95 forecasters

Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)

99%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?

72.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Liberal)

1%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
95 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Patient Focus)

1%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
95 forecasters

Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?

3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
93 forecasters

Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?

Neither69.5%
House of Representatives21.1%
Both5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Green)

Latest estimate
1.03 seats

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-25)

Latest estimate
50.1k jobs

This question is closed for forecasting.