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Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
7
18
18
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
15
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
98
forecasters
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
93.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
8
forecasters
Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?
0
comments
5
forecasters
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?
0
comments
90
forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Oct-25)
Latest estimate
4.43%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will the U.S. Senate pass a reconciliation bill with no CBO input on Byrd Rule compliance in the following years?
0
comments
86
forecasters
What will be the value of "CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index" on 2025-09-25?
Latest estimate
18.7 Index
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
85
forecasters
What will be the value of "ICE BofA US Corporate Index Total Return Index Value" on 2025-09-25?
Latest estimate
3579 Index
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
84
forecasters
What will be the value of "ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index Option-Adjusted Spread" on 2025-09-22?
Latest estimate
1.54 Percent
This question is closed for forecasting.
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