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2 comments
23 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
02 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
38 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
62.8%
3 comments
48 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet33.6%
OpenAI25.6%
Anthropic16.7%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

3
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

53.9%chance
37.2% today
0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

96 comments
288 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

45%chance
8% this week
0 comments
103 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

31.7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
104 forecasters

Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?

17.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.