• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Key Factor

China starts a war with the land of Taiwan BEFORE said weakly general AI

12 Jan 2027

Key Factor

China starts a war with the land of Taiwan BEFORE said weakly general AI

Are We Surprised by AI Milestones?

8
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5
2 comments2
AI Progress Essay Contest

Substance is all you need.

2
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

95%chance

AI Safety ∩ AI/DL Research

10
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will ChatGPT-like bots accurately describe their own reward mechanisms before 2025?

Annulled

Will Google or DeepMind release a public interface for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023?

resultYes

Will OpenAI limit interactions with GPT-4 on ChatGPT due to model misbehavior before the end of May 2023?

resultNo