12 comments
55 forecasters
Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?
resultYes
0 comments
3 forecasters
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Current estimate
Mar 2036
42 comments
138 forecasters
Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?
Together for the Republic75.6%
Other10.1%
No Prime Minister3.9%
4 comments
5 forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
0 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"?
44%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 28.90% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will Derrick Rose make the Hall of Fame?"?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
1 comment
6 forecasters
Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?
1 comment
5 forecasters
Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?
0 comments
35 forecasters
Will Nepal swear in a new prime minister before September 20, 2025?
Revealed in 4 days