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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

Key Factor

New Chinese landing barges

Key Factor

New Chinese landing barges

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Yes, still owned by foreign adversary49%
Yes, non-adversary owner41.8%
No9.2%

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

75%chance

For how many countries will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice by May 15, due to the novel coronavirus?

resultMore than 60

When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?

17 Jun 2028
condition

China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?

12 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)

25%
25%

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)

40%
40%
1
3 comments3
The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%chance