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Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?

Pennsylvaniaresult: Yes
Wisconsinresult: No
Michiganresult: No
and 10 others

Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?

resultYes

Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?

resultNo

Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?

resultYes

Will 538 outperform The Economist forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

resultNo

When will Nate Silver release his second book?

result13 Aug 2024 12:00
condition

AI in 2024 Presidential Debates

Resolved:No
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

15 Jan 2026
Resolved:Annulled

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

04 Apr 2026
5
1 comment1
condition

AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook

Resolved:No
6 forecasters
if yes
if no

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

09 Jun 2025
Resolved:Annulled

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

02 May 2026
2
no comments0