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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?

resultYes

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous
LatviaAmbiguous
LithuaniaAmbiguous
and 9 others

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%
Poland30%
Estonia30%
and 9 others

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro95%
North Macedonia85%
Albania82.5%
and 17 others

What percentage of new passenger car sales will be all-electric in Australia in 2030?

48.1%

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

62%chance

When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?

00

Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?

Spainresult: Yes
Englandresult: No
United Statesresult: No
and 29 others

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

4
16 comments16
Metaculus Journal Archives

When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?

23 Jun 2028