0 comments
108 forecasters
Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026?
12%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
108 forecasters
Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?
8.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will Google implement a feature to explain targeted Google Ads before 2026?
25%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11.4%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
106 forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom)
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
104 forecasters
Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
99 forecasters
What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 48E (ITC) clean electricity tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?
2027-2028 sunset w/ safe harbor30%
2025-2026 sunset w/ safe harbor23.4%
No sunset reduction before 202620.7%
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0 comments
92 forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.