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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Singapore75%
Vietnam70%
Taiwan67%
and 9 others

Will there be a new confrontation between Chinese and Philippine military vessels before April 1, 2024?

resultYes

Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?

resultNo

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?

resultNo

EV Battery Supply Chains and EU Regulations: 3 Scenarios

5
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?

Spainresult: Yes
Englandresult: No
United Statesresult: No
and 29 others

Will China settle its South China Sea maritime boundary dispute with any other state by 2030?

45%chance

Will Yulia Navalnaya ever become president or prime minister of Russia?

1%chance

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

10%chance