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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2 comments
37 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

4
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
0 comments
50 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

64%chance
56% this week
8 comments
104 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi68.4%
Qatar29.5%
Las Vegas2%

Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.

0 comments
3 forecasters

What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?

Current estimate
924B $
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom)

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States)

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.