• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
30 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
7 comments
56 forecasters

Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?

99.9%chance
37.9% this week
3 comments
54 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet31.7%
OpenAI25%
Anthropic16.8%
6 comments
43 forecasters

What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Current estimate
16.1 pp
2 comments
45 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

93%chance
2% today
99 comments
294 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

45%chance
7% this week
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

18%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.