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102 forecasters

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
102 forecasters

Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Capped credits)

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
102 forecasters

Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Walmart stores in the United States return to 24-hour service before 2026?

5%chance
10% today

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?

17.2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?

14%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Limits on share buybacks)

9.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?

15.6%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.