2 comments
37 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
6 comments
103 forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi68.2%
Qatar29.7%
Las Vegas2%
Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.
0 comments
3 forecasters
What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?
Current estimate
924B $
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States)
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
7%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
92 forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
105 forecasters
In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents?
25%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
103 forecasters
In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Production Tax Credits (45Y)?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.