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condition

New PHEIC in 2024?

Resolved:Yes
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

International Pandemic Treaty before 2025

3%
3%
Resolved:No

International Pandemic Treaty before 2025

1%
1%
Resolved:Annulled
1
2 comments2
Conditional Cup
condition

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?

Resolved:No
14 forecasters
if yes
if no

New PHEIC in 2024?

27%
27%
Resolved:Annulled

New PHEIC in 2024?

9%
9%
Resolved:Yes
2
1 comment1
Conditional Cup

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

66%chance