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The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024?

resultYes

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran66%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
and 7 others

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous
LatviaAmbiguous
LithuaniaAmbiguous
and 9 others

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%
Poland30%
Estonia30%
and 9 others

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
1 comment1
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024?

resultNo

Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?

resultNo

An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?

16
4 comments4

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00